February 2019

Number Of U.S. Workers On Strike

Macro Overview U.S. equities continued to defy negative sentiment and sanguine market readings as tepid economic data advanced stocks higher in February. Equities posted their best first two months of the year since 1991, rebounding from the volatile fourth quarter of 2018. Gross domestic product (GDP), the primary measure of U.S. economic growth, expanded at […]

January 2019

Macro Overview A resilient U.S. economy drove equity markets to the best January in 30 years, propelling stock indices to new year gains which had not been seen since January 1989. Job and wage growth skirted the government shutdown as the number of employed increased in January along with rising wages. The unemployment rate ticked […]

The Federal Reserve’s Hotel California Moment

The Federal Reserve is having its Hotel California moment. The Fed began quantitative easing in 2008 with a balance sheet of $800 billion, growing to $4.5 trillion. Even with quantitative tightening, the balance sheet will not be reduced back to normal levels below $1 trillion. The Fed has paused on raising rates due to a slower economy in […]

Economic and Market Commentary

Investors got a big lump of coal in their stockings this Christmas. For equity investors, the decline in prices that started the first week of October reached a crescendo on December 24th, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered the worst Christmas Eve decline in its history, with the Average declining more than 1300 points (5.8%) […]

Market Volatility Spiked In December

The stock market had the worst December in 2018 since the Great Depression. Even so, the U.S. economy is showing its resiliency with unemployment at its lowest level in 49 years, wage growth reaching levels not seen since 2009, and consumer spending and industrial production remaining strong. Read our recap of the month of December’s […]

The Grinch Stole The Santa Claus Rally

Historically the markets in December are strong, but this year returns are at -14%. Most asset classes are down for the year. 4 reasons we think the Grinch may have a change of heart: The Federal Reserve China Trade Brexit Economic Activity First featured on traditionadvisers.net.